Day 2

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

8:00                  Registration

09:00 – 10:30 Simba Hall

Plenary A2 State of Knowledge, Research Gaps and Strategies – Towards Coordinated Pan-African Research – Short Range Planning and Extremes PreparednessChair: Richard Anyah, UCC; Moderator: Fiona Percy, CARE


09:00 – 09:10   Vulnerable farmer needs for climate research to strengthen climate risk management decisions at farm level James Kinyangi, CCAFS

09:10 – 09:20   Climate research needs to guide WASH planning in AfricaJulie Fischer, USAID/WASAL

09:20 – 09:30   Climate forecast needs to guide disaster management and preparedness in AfricaYoucef Ait-Chellouche, UNISDR, RoA

09:30 – 09:40   WCRP-WWRP Subseasonal to Seasonal PredictionWillem Landman, CSIR

09:40 – 09:50   A Regional Hydroclimate Project for Lake Victoria Basin (HYVIC)Fredrick Semazzi, NCSU

09:50 – 10:00   GEO and Climate – Espen Volden, GEO

10:00 – 10:30   Discussion

10:30 – 11:00    Coffee Break

11:00 – 12:30   Poster Session


12:30 – 14:00     Lunch Break


14:00 – 18:30

Parallel sessions B3-B4B3: Climate Variability and Predictability

B4: Observations for Monitoring, Understanding and Predicting Climate


14:00 – 18:30 Mbayuwayu Room

Chair: Laban Ogallo, ICPAC                     Moderator: Alessandra Giannini, IRI

14:00 – 14:15    Changes in East African Rainfall in Observations and the ECHAM-5 Model Run with Observed Sea Surface Temperatures  - Brant Liebmann, U. Colorado

14:15 – 14:30    Effects of Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Atlantic and IndianZewdu Segele, U. of Oklahoma

14:30 – 14:45   South Atlantic Ocean dipole forcing of inter-annual to multi-decadal climate variability over Africa - Hyacinth Nnamchi, University of Nigeria

14:45 – 15:00   Wet and dry spells characterisation and their possible linkages to tele-connections for selected stations in Zimbabwe - Raymond Mugandani, Midlands State University

15:00 – 15:30   Western and Central African Precipitation – Examining regional tele-connections across Asia and the Indian OceanEllen Dyer, University of Toronto

15:30 – 15:45   Linkages Between the Inter-tropical Front (ITF) Variability, Tropical Atlantic Moisture Transport, and Sudan-Sahel Summer Rainfall Predictability – Issa Lele, U. of Oklahoma

15:45 – 16:00   Heavy Rainfall Predictability: the THORPEX West Africa case study – Emmanuel Poan

16:00 – 16:30                                              Coffee Break

16:30 – 16:45   Characterisation of subseasonal precipitation variations from local- to regional-scale : The case of the “Long Rains” over Eastern Equatorial AfricaNathalie Philippon, U. Bourgogne

16:45 – 17:00   Intra-seasonal variability and predictability over West and Central Africa in northern spring - Pierre Honoré Kamsu Tamo, LOCEAN-IPSL, and U. of Douala

17:00 – 17:15    A study of processes driving seasonal variability of low level westerlies in West Equatorial AfricaWilfried Pokam, Cameroon Center for International Forestry Research-Central Africa Regional Office

17:15 – 17:30    MISVA: Real-time monitoring and forecast of synopticto-intraseasonal variability of the West African Monsoon – Philippe Peyrille, CNRM Météo France and CNRS

17:30 – 17:45   Assessment on the Predictability and Prediction of the Seasonal Mean Short Rain over Equatorial East Africa using APCC Multi-Model Ensemble – Titike Kassa Bahaga, Addis Ababa U.

17:45 – 18:00   WMO severe weather demonstration project in Eastern AfricaCaroline Bain, UKMO

17:45 – 18:30   Discussion and Session Conclusions: Summary of Knowledge, Gaps and Recommendations


14:00 – 18:30Tausi Room

Parallel session B4: Observations for Monitoring, Understanding and Predicting ClimateChair: Andre Kamga, ACMAD; Friedericke Otto, ECI, U. Oxford      
Moderator: Mark New, ACDI

14:00 – 14:15    An Assessment of Africa’s climate observing networks and data including strategies for rescuing of climatic data  - Buruhani Salum Nyenzi, Climate Consult LTD

14:15 – 14:30    WACA-DARE: Implementation of the ICA&D concept in West Africa as a climate service across borders - Ayran Van Engelen, KNMI

14:30 – 14:45   Rainfall variability and the recent climate extremes in Nigeria - Cyprian Okoloye, Nigerian Meteorological Agency

14:45 – 15:00   The AMMA information systemLaurence Fleury, CNRS, Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées

15:00 – 15:30   Lake Victoria Basin Observational Field Project – Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research

15:30 – 15:45   Addressing vulnerability and adaptation of African inland riparian and aquatic ecosystems, fisheries, and livelihoods to climate variability and change: A review of scientific literatureRichard Ogutu-Ohwayo, Uganda National Fisheries Resources Research Insitute

15:45 – 16:00   Estimation of impact of extreme climate change events (flood) on cost of livelihood in the flood belt of Nigeria: The need for community-based mitigation modelAchoja Felix, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research

16:00 – 16:30                                              Coffee Break

16:30 – 16:45   Challenges in probabilistic event attribution in African climatesMyles Allen, U. Oxford

16:45 – 17:00   Can the 2011 East African drought be attributed to human-induced climate change?Fraser Lott, UKMO

17:00 – 17:15    Attribution of the 2012 and 2013 rainfall deficits in Eastern Kenya and Southern Somalia - Brant Liebmann, U. Colorado

17:15 – 17:30    Assessing Vulnerability to Climate Change and Farmers’ Capability for Implementing Green Water Saving Schemes in Eastern Region of Kenya – Ngonzo Luwesi, Kenyatta University

17:30 – 17:45   The weather risk attribution forecast for Africa for October 2013Daithi Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

17:45 – 18:30   Discussion and Session Conclusions: Summary of Knowledge, Gaps and Recommendations


19:00 – 20:00     Side Events S3-S4

                        S3: ACMAD: Losses and Damages due to extreme climate events

                        S4: HYVIC Project

19:00 – 20:00   Side Event S3 – ACMAD: Losses and Damages due to extreme climate events (Manyara Hall)

                     ACMAD Vision and plans to provide climate services for prevention, preparation and response – Benjamin Lamptey, ACMAD

19:00 – 20:00   Side Event S4 – HYVIC Project (Twiga Room)

HyVic organizational structure, research coordination & resource mobilization needs for building resilience to climate change in the Lake Victoria basin Region (HyVic International Planning Committee) – Fredrick Semazzi (IPC, Chair), IPC members


20:00 – 21:00     Refreshments

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